Analysis

The BRICS Expansion: What It Means for the Global Order

February 10, 2025·9 min read

When BRICS admitted five new members in January 2024, something quietly significant happened in the architecture of global power. Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, and Ethiopia joined Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa in a bloc that now represents roughly 45% of the world's population and 35% of global GDP.

The question isn't whether BRICS is now a more serious geopolitical force. It clearly is. The question is what kind of force it will become.

What BRICS Actually Is

BRICS is not NATO. There's no collective defense clause, no mutual security guarantee, no integrated command structure. Members have deep disagreements — India and China have fought border skirmishes and have competing interests across Asia.

What BRICS is: a forum for coordination among countries that share a broad interest in a more multipolar world — one where the US dollar's dominance in global finance is reduced, where Western countries can't easily impose their preferences through institutions like the IMF and World Bank, and where "non-Western" voices carry more weight.

The Saudi-Iran Wildcard

The most striking aspect of the 2024 expansion is that both Saudi Arabia and Iran joined. These two countries represent opposite ends of the Gulf's sectarian and geopolitical divide. They've fought proxy wars across the Middle East for decades.

Their simultaneous membership signals something important: both governments see BRICS primarily as an economic coordination tool and an alternative to Western financial systems, not as a political alliance requiring ideological alignment.

The Dollar Question

The most concrete policy goal shared by BRICS members is reducing dependence on the US dollar for international trade. Russia in particular has strong incentives here — dollar-denominated transactions are vulnerable to US sanctions.

Progress has been slow. The dollar remains dominant because it offers something alternatives don't: deep, liquid markets, rule of law, and global trust. Building a credible alternative takes decades, not years.

But the direction of travel is clear: more bilateral trade in non-dollar currencies, more BRICS members building alternatives to SWIFT, more pressure for reform of Bretton Woods institutions.